Poll Predicting Giron Recall Goes Unpublished

Poll Predicting Giron Recall Goes Unpublished
(Photo by The Associated Press)

An interesting little sidelight has emerged from the successful Colorado recall election. Public Policy Polling, a firm widely used by media outlets like National Public Radio, polled likely voters in state Sen. Angela Giron's district and calculated she was going to lose by 12 points. The eventual margin of loss? Twelve points.

You'd think that constituted a ringing endorsement of PPP's polling methodology, but the problem is PPP never released the poll.

According to PPP's Tom Jensen, "We did a poll last weekend in Colorado Senate District 3 and found that voters intended to recall Angela Giron by a 12-point margin, 54/42. In a district that Barack Obama won by almost 20 points, I figured there was no way that could be right and made a rare decision not to release the poll. It turns out we should have had more faith in our numbers because she was indeed recalled by 12 points."


As we have seen so often before, even smart people who know better can be victims of Pauline Kael Syndrome. You will recall Kael, a longtime cinema critic for The New York Times, was astounded when Richard Nixon won reelection in 1972.


"How could Nixon have won," a plaintive Kael asked. "No one know voted for him!"

There are those who have accused PPP of suppressing the poll in an effort to help Giron. It could just as logically be argued that suppressing it hurt her chances by encouraging complacency. I suspect PPP personnel had no particular horse in the race; they just couldn't believe a result that so radically challenged their own ideas.

Jensen went on to say, "We did find on the poll though that voters in the district had a favorable opinion of the NRA by a 53/33 margin. And I think when you see the final results, what that indicates is they just did a good job of turning the election more broadly into do you support gun rights or are you opposed to them. If voters made their decision based on the actual pretty unobtrusive laws that Giron helped get passed, she likely would have survived. But the NRA won the messaging game and turned it into something bigger than it was — even if that wasn't true — and Giron paid the price."

You can see a light bulb turning on there, if dimly. Because the anti-gunners are never satisfied — just look at California for your proof — we are obliged to fight like tigers against every erosion of 2nd Amendment rights. When you understand that you can never accept losing, your intensity is always going to be greater than an opponent who figures he can come back again next year.


That this continues to be a surprise to the media and their subsidiaries shows just how obtuse they can be, even when their own research shows the reality in black and white.

GET THE NEWSLETTER Join the List and Never Miss a Thing.

Recommended Articles

See More Recommendations

Popular Videos

Shooting the 20mm Lahti

Shooting the 20mm Lahti

David Fortier had the chance to fire the Lahti L-39 while filming the 2018 season of Guns&AmmoTV while on location at DriveTanks.com.

Performance Center M&P Shield M2.0

Performance Center M&P Shield M2.0

From Smith & Wesson, the M&P Shield M2.0 is a great option for a carry gun with optics option.

Springfield Armory Saint Victor in .308

Springfield Armory Saint Victor in .308

The Saint Victor in .308 features a 16" light weight barrel, M-Lok® free float hand guard and included flip-up sights.

Ruger introduces Rifles Chambered in the All-New .350 Legend

Ruger introduces Rifles Chambered in the All-New .350 Legend

Two Ruger American Ranch rifles and the AR-556 MPR are now chambered for Winchester's .350 Legend cartridge.

See More Popular Videos

Trending Articles

Governor Northam is calling a special session of the General Assembly on Tuesday, July 9th, to do nothing but pass more gun control! 2nd Amendment

Virginia Governor Northam Declares War on Gun Owners

Virginia Citizens Defense League - July 09, 2019

Governor Northam is calling a special session of the General Assembly on Tuesday, July 9th, to...

CRKT makes 17 different knife models exclusively for Ruger, from fixed hunting knives to tactical folders, and many of their models are offered in several different styles. Accessories

Ruger CRKT Knives Review

James Tarr - July 08, 2019

CRKT makes 17 different knife models exclusively for Ruger, from fixed hunting knives to...

Please sign and share the petition to get the required 100,000 signatures by July 27. 2nd Amendment

Tell the White House that the 2nd Amendment Was Not Given to the People by Government

Firearms News - July 02, 2019

Please sign and share the petition to get the required 100,000 signatures by July 27.

A $50 Ring Loc-Kit gives AirForce Condor airgunners unparalleled power and accuracy. Air Guns

AirForce Airguns Condor Ring-Loc Kit Review

Tom Gaylord - May 29, 2019

A $50 Ring Loc-Kit gives AirForce Condor airgunners unparalleled power and accuracy.

See More Trending Articles

More 2nd Amendment

In their ongoing battle against guns and legal gun ownership, anti-gun companies Google and Apple have disabled the functionality of the Gunbroker.com app on their platforms, denying users the ability to shop and make purchases via those apps. 2nd Amendment

Google and Apple Target GunBroker.com

Mark Chesnut - May 15, 2020

In their ongoing battle against guns and legal gun ownership, anti-gun companies Google and...

Court ruling on bump stock lawsuit could gut the 2A. 2nd Amendment

Subversive Machine Gun Ruling Will Gut Second Amendment If Upheld

David Codrea - April 28, 2020

Court ruling on bump stock lawsuit could gut the 2A.

Determined to make a 2nd Amendment

Biden's Anti-Gun Running Mate?

Mark Chesnut - May 19, 2020

Determined to make a "diversity" pick for his running mate, Biden has a number of women he is...

With the Second Amendment under siege in Virginia like never before, the Virginia Citizens Defense League (VCDL)—the commonwealth's foremost defender of the right to keep and bear arms—is taking proactive steps to nip local gun-control schemes at the bud. 2nd Amendment

Virginia Preparing for Local Anti-Gun Schemes

Mark Chesnut - April 30, 2020

With the Second Amendment under siege in Virginia like never before, the Virginia Citizens...

See More 2nd Amendment

GET THE MAGAZINE Subscribe & Save

Digital Now Included!

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Give a Gift   |   Subscriber Services

PREVIEW OUR CURRENT ISSUE

GET THE NEWSLETTER Join the List and Never Miss a Thing.

Get Digital Access.

All Firearms News subscribers now have digital access to their magazine content. This means you have the option to read your magazine on most popular phones and tablets.

To get started, click the link below to visit mymagnow.com and learn how to access your digital magazine.

Get Digital Access

Not a Subscriber?
Subscribe Now